What is the population of Taiwan? Analysis of the latest data and hot topics in 2024
As an integral part of China, Taiwan's demographic changes have always attracted much attention. Based on the latest statistical data and hot topics across the Internet in the past 10 days, this article will give you a structured analysis of Taiwan’s population status and social hot spots.
1. Taiwan’s latest population statistics
| indicator | 2024 data | Year-on-year change |
|---|---|---|
| total population | 23,360,000 people | -0.3% |
| male population | 11,550,000 people | -0.4% |
| female population | 11,810,000 people | -0.2% |
| birth rate | 7.1‰ | -0.2‰ |
| Mortality | 7.8‰ | +0.1‰ |
| Aging rate | 16.5% | +0.7% |
2. Analysis of recent hot topics
1.The crisis of declining birthrate continues to intensify
According to the latest statistics, the number of newborns in Taiwan in the first quarter of 2024 was only 32,000, a record low. Experts predict that the number of births throughout the year may fall below the 120,000 mark, and the total fertility rate may drop below 0.9.
| Year | birth population | total fertility rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 165,000 | 1.05 |
| 2021 | 153,000 | 0.98 |
| 2022 | 138,000 | 0.92 |
| 2023 | 125,000 | 0.89 |
| 2024(forecast) | 118,000 | 0.87 |
2.Population outflow attracts attention
Recent data shows that Taiwan’s net emigration population will reach 78,000 in 2023, mainly to the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta regions and Southeast Asian countries on the mainland. Among them, young adults aged 20-39 accounted for 62%.
3.Challenges of an Aging Society
The proportion of people over 65 years old in Taiwan has exceeded 16.5%, and it is expected to enter a super-aged society (20%) in 2026. The implementation effect of the recently hotly discussed "Long-term Care 2.0" policy has become the focus.
| age group | population | Proportion of total population |
|---|---|---|
| 0-14 years old | 2,850,000 | 12.2% |
| 15-64 years old | 16,210,000 | 69.4% |
| Over 65 years old | 3,850,000 | 16.5% |
| Over 80 years old | 980,000 | 4.2% |
3. Impact of demographic changes
1.economic level
The labor force population has experienced negative growth for six consecutive years, which has exacerbated the problem of job shortage. The latest survey shows that the labor shortage rate in the catering service industry reaches 23%, and the gap in skilled workers in the manufacturing industry exceeds 150,000.
2.social level
The number of single-person households has exceeded 3 million, accounting for 35% of the total number of households. The number of searches for topics related to "loneliness economy" has recently increased by 180%, and the pet keeping rate has increased to 38%.
3.policy level
The recently hotly debated "New Immigration Policy" proposal has triggered widespread discussions, mainly around the relaxation of residence restrictions for mainland professionals and the naturalization of foreign spouses.
4. Forecast of future development trends
According to predictions from authoritative organizations, Taiwan's population will fall below the 23 million mark in 2025. If effective measures are not taken, the population may shrink to about 16 million in 2100.
| Year | Projected population | Aging rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22,950,000 | 17.8% |
| 2030 | 22,300,000 | 21.2% |
| 2050 | 19,800,000 | 35.6% |
| 2100 | 16,200,000 | 42.3% |
The population problem in Taiwan is both a challenge and an opportunity. By strengthening cross-strait exchanges and cooperation and drawing on the mainland's successful experience in dealing with low birthrate and aging population, it will help to improve the current demographic dilemma.
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